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Law Ka-chung

  • Fiscal Deficits: Politics or Economics?
    Fiscal Deficits: Politics or Economics?
    There is a belief that if former President Donald Trump becomes the U.S. president again, then the fiscal situation will worsen. It is not hard to evaluate this by looking ...
    July 25, 2024BY Law Ka-chung
  • Interest Rate Change as a Cause Will Become a Consequence
    Interest Rate Change as a Cause Will Become a Consequence
    Commentary While the U.S. presidential election is the focus and former President Trump's trade is the theme, what ...
    July 25, 2024BY Law Ka-chung
  • What Makes Japan’s Economy Exceptional?
    What Makes Japan’s Economy Exceptional?
    Commentary Japan has always been regarded as different from other countries. Beginning in the early 1990s, it experienced ...
    July 17, 2024BY Law Ka-chung
  • Labour Party’s Economic Impact Is Less Than You Think
    Labour Party’s Economic Impact Is Less Than You Think
    Commentary The UK just elected a left-wing party, the Labour Party, to run its government. A consideration is ...
    July 15, 2024BY Law Ka-chung
  • Hong Kong Property Market Won’t Rebound Despite City Scrapping Decade-Old Restrictions: Experts
    Hong Kong Property Market Won’t Rebound Despite City Scrapping Decade-Old Restrictions: Experts
    "If Mainland China goes down, Hong Kong goes down," he told The Epoch Times, adding that the current ...
    March 5, 2024BY Ying Cheung and Cindy Li
  • Job Market Is Still the Strongest Indicator to Boom-Bust Cycle
    Job Market Is Still the Strongest Indicator to Boom-Bust Cycle
    Commentary While the market is anticipating some Goldilocks outlook for the U.S. economy (probably for some other advanced ...
    December 6, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • China Housing Bust Is Not yet Done
    China Housing Bust Is Not yet Done
    Commentary Recently, there were reports that Shenzhen in southern China had its residential property prices slashed by half. ...
    November 30, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • Exports Data Predicting a Global Cycle Ahead
    Exports Data Predicting a Global Cycle Ahead
    Commentary The recent ease of inflation reduces the pressure of monetary tightening. A year-end rally has begun. But ...
    November 23, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • Inflation Is Being Driven More by Investment Than Consumption
    Inflation Is Being Driven More by Investment Than Consumption
    Commentary The Federal Reserve recently released a confusing signal to the market about their policy stance of being ...
    November 16, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • Japan GDP and CPI Growth at 1 Percent—A New Normal
    Japan GDP and CPI Growth at 1 Percent—A New Normal
    Commentary Japan has become a new case study for both academics and the markets. After decades of spiraling ...
    November 9, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • The Key to US Economic Success Is the System
    The Key to US Economic Success Is the System
    Commentary These years, all countries are facing aging or even population shrinkage problems. This is an expected outcome ...
    November 2, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • With the Real Estate Crash and Debt Defaults China Will Have to Withdraw From Almost All Global Financial Funding Channels
    With the Real Estate Crash and Debt Defaults China Will Have to Withdraw From Almost All Global Financial Funding Channels
    Commentary Last week, the Chinese stock market plummeted; the Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) dropped below 3,000 points, a ...
    October 26, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • The Impact of Bond Yield Rise Might Be Similar to Policy Rate Hike
    The Impact of Bond Yield Rise Might Be Similar to Policy Rate Hike
    Commentary The 10-year Treasury yield increased by 1.5 percent (or 150 basis points) in half a year. This ...
    October 19, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • Long Yield Is Expected to Be High for Decade(s) to Come
    Long Yield Is Expected to Be High for Decade(s) to Come
    Commentary The most impactful market changes these days would no doubt be the surge of long-tenor sovereign yield. ...
    October 12, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • How Does a Recession Begin?
    How Does a Recession Begin?
    Commentary We have been emphasizing here that the yield curve is a very powerful predictor of recession, that ...
    October 5, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • China’s Problem Is Still China’s and Has Not Spilled to the Rest of the World
    China’s Problem Is Still China’s and Has Not Spilled to the Rest of the World
    Commentary The potential China collapse is now on the international agenda. A minority of opinions worry that China's ...
    September 28, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • Recession Won’t Damage Permanently but Inflation Will
    Recession Won’t Damage Permanently but Inflation Will
    Commentary Central banks have signaled in this “super week” their intentions to end the tightening cycle soon. But ...
    September 21, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • Chinese Currency Depreciation Contained but Will Continue
    Chinese Currency Depreciation Contained but Will Continue
    Commentary The depreciation of the Chinese currency (yuan) aroused some concern. Certainly, not too many would care about ...
    September 14, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • 1970s Is Not an Unexplainable Coincidence
    1970s Is Not an Unexplainable Coincidence
    Commentary Three weeks ago, Lawrence Summers posted in his X (formerly Twitter), a chart comparing U.S. CPI YoY ...
    September 7, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • BRICS-11 Won’t Promote Usage of the Chinese Currency
    BRICS-11 Won’t Promote Usage of the Chinese Currency
    Commentary The BRICS camp will include six more members. As is wishfully thought by Russia, this will de-dollarise ...
    August 31, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • The Final Destination of China’s Crisis
    The Final Destination of China’s Crisis
    Commentary With foreign investment withdrawing from China and a series of lockdowns in past years, many businesses closed ...
    August 24, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • Deflation in China Is Unavoidable
    Deflation in China Is Unavoidable
    Commentary China released a deflation figure for July but officially insisted there was no deflation and banned any ...
    August 17, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • On the Bank of Japan’s Yield Curve Control Adjustment
    On the Bank of Japan’s Yield Curve Control Adjustment
    Commentary The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has adjusted the yield curve control (YCC) by allowing the cap of ...
    August 3, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • China’s Actual Unemployment Rate Is in Double Digits
    China’s Actual Unemployment Rate Is in Double Digits
    Commentary One of the hot topics these days is China’s level of unemployment. Its latest reported youth unemployment ...
    July 27, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
  • Data With Chinese Characteristics
    Data With Chinese Characteristics
    Commentary China released its latest GDP figure showing strong 6.3 percent year-on-year growth in the second quarter. There ...
    July 20, 2023BY Law Ka-chung
TOP NEWS
  • Kalshi Ends Advisory Role With Donald Trump Jr. After His Firm Invests in Polymarket
    NEW By Kimberly Hayek
    Kalshi Ends Advisory Role With Donald Trump Jr. After His Firm Invests in Polymarket
  • Millions Affected Worldwide as Microsoft Services Hit
    NEW By Chris Summers
    Millions Affected Worldwide as Microsoft Services Hit
  • RFK Jr. Announces Funding to Study Ibogaine Psychedelic Drug
    1hr By Zachary Stieber
    RFK Jr. Announces Funding to Study Ibogaine Psychedelic Drug
  • 10 Midterm House Races That Surprised Some Observers
    2hr By Joseph Lord
    10 Midterm House Races That Surprised Some Observers
  • DOJ Announces 354 Arrests in Global Dark Web Drug Crackdown
    4hr By Jacki Thrapp
    DOJ Announces 354 Arrests in Global Dark Web Drug Crackdown
  • Why Most Americans Couldn’t Last 72 Hours in an Emergency
    4hr By Russ Jones
    Why Most Americans Couldn’t Last 72 Hours in an Emergency
  • Beijing Uses Monitoring Hubs in US to Police Chinese Diaspora, Report Says
    4hr By Frank Fang
    Beijing Uses Monitoring Hubs in US to Police Chinese Diaspora, Report Says
  • US Returns $12 Billion Collected From Venezuela’s Oil Sales This Year
    9hr By Jill McLaughlin
    US Returns $12 Billion Collected From Venezuela’s Oil Sales This Year
  • Senate Banking Chair Asks Ex-Nvidia CEO Huang, Commerce Chief Lutnick to Testify
    9hr By Kimberly Hayek
    Senate Banking Chair Asks Ex-Nvidia CEO Huang, Commerce Chief Lutnick to Testify
  • Van Hollen Challenges Schumer for Senate Majority Leader
    11hr By Joseph Lord
    Van Hollen Challenges Schumer for Senate Majority Leader
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